Tuesday 27 June 2023

081. Nah


White: aperturaf - all-play-all tournament, ChessWorld.net, 2018

In his June 2023 ChessPublishing column on 1 e4 e5, GM Tony Kosten includes the game D.Naroditsky-M.Timmermans, Titled Tuesday (blitz) 2023, which “demonstrates a dangerous line that hinders Black from castling and culminates in the (...) position after 12 f4. This is tempting for White as Black can quickly find himself in trouble in this line if he doesn't know exactly what he is doing. Here Black played a good novelty, but went astray immediately afterwards and was crushed.”

GM Naroditsky also livestreamed the game, which has since appeared on youtube. At 3:13 he concludes, having won in 19 moves: “Yeah, this Bc4 line basically busts the line. I mean, I've played like this with Black, and it's just so unpleasant to play this. It's like, you can never castle. The engine always finds some ways to stay alive, but like from a practical point of view it's like, it's insanely hard to play. Yeah.”

Nah.

The 7 Bc4 line is certainly challenging (see Game 75), but not the way he played it (7 Bc4 Na5?! 8 Qd3?! Be7 9 Nc3 etc). As I wrote in my book: “if 12 f4 then 12...Qc6!”.
This is rather more than staying alive. White has absolutely nothing here. More than that,
I prefer Black with the two bishops. And ...Qc6 is not at all hard to find. IM Timmermans would certainly find it with more time on the clock; i.e. in a situation other than being surprised in an online blitz game, and by a strong GM.

In fact I've won as Black after 12...Qc6. Well, to be strictly accurate, Stockfish says I was winning at move 15 (...Ng4), level at move 20, losing at move 28, winning at move 30 (...Bxc4+), losing at move 31 (Na5), level again at move 32, winning again at move 35, before I finally won at move 37. Such are the vicissitudes of 2350-rated 3-0 blitz on lichess.

The game below deviated at move 12. This is mentioned in my book too, up to 17...Bxg4, when “Black has whatever chances are going”. I see Stockfish 15 gives Black a clear advantage. Well, maybe. From the discussion mentioned in the previous post:

The point is not always what the assessment is as where it's going. Work on and is it trending up or down? Is a clear advantage trending to winning, staying where it is, or perhaps switching between a clear and slight advantage. Stockfish can defend a lot of positions it thinks are +0.8, +1, +1.3 for the opponent. Even more than that sometimes. In the end it comes down to, yes, the opponent is better, but can they actually win?

Or, here, can I actually win. As it happens, I did win. Sweet.

Incidentally, the following month Timmermans got to play the line again. This time he bashed out ...Qc6! (in an equivalent position) and was also winning at move 15. Though Stockfish is not too impressed with that game either. Such are the vicissitudes of IM level blitz on chess.com, I guess.


Friday 23 June 2023

080. Stockfish vs. Stockfish


Black: I. Rees - C&DCCC Ward-Higgs Trophy, 2023

Towards the end of 2022 I was minded to respond to an article in the New York Times, in which the author wrote: “Out of the 136 games played in the 32nd World Correspondence Chess Championship, 119 were draws.”

Looking at the crosstable you can see that that 119 is superficially correct. However, some qualification seemed warranted, so I tweeted:

Except that Bock withdrew, so all his "losses" can be discounted; similarly Neto-Pessoa where Black "resigned" a level position. So out of 119 real results, only *three* were decisive. Of these, two were one-move blunders (Edwards-Michálek and Schwetlick-Lecroq). Only Osipov-Schwetlick was a win "over the board". Basically Edwards came first because Michálek, who gave him a knight for nothing, only lost one game, whereas Schwetlick lost two. Well done.

Someone then asked: “Do the humans have any input or is it all down to computers?”
To which I replied:

There's a surprising amount of leeway in most positions, so humans can direct how they want play to go, while engines keep it within the bounds of soundness. But as a real contest between humans it's ultimately futile: if a position is at all sound, Stockfish will defend it.

We went into this a bit more in a thread on the ChessPublishing forum, which included a discussion of the strength (or otherwise) of a “centaur” (that is, a human using an engine) compared to that of an engine alone. My opinion was (and is):

That the centaur might be very slightly stronger relies on quite a lot of expertise: that the human knows how to use the engine, does so diligently, and is sensible enough not to overrule it in critical positions.

But note that I said "not significantly stronger" above. I meant that in a mathematical sense; i.e. there's no significant statistical difference; i.e. even in a best case scenario the centaur is hardly any stronger.

To put it in personal terms: I'm a CCSIM (title from 20 years ago), currently rated ca. 2200 over the board, and have been analysing with engines for many years. But if a CC game is, say, me + Stockfish vs. 1200 player + Stockfish – a prime example of centaur vs. engine – I know from the outset that, if the opening is sound and all my opponent's subsequent moves are approved by Stockfish, there's virtually no chance I'm going to win.


Hence, as I also said, and as I've indicated before: “I stopped playing serious CC in 2006. My only games are a couple each year for Nottinghamshire in the C&DCCC.” The game below is from this season's competition.

There is nothing interesting about this game. I hoped my opponent might play 3...f5. He didn't. He played the Berlin. I tried a line that Magnus had won with, and then – once Black had deviated – an odd-looking idea (14 Qc1) from an earlier correspondence game.
It didn't get me anywhere. The game was drawn. The companion game was slightly more entertaining but still a draw. My two games the previous season, against someone rated 1650 OTB (roughly 130 in old money) were also draws.

To reiterate: As a real contest between humans, correspondence chess is ultimately futile: if a position is at all sound, Stockfish will defend it.

Or to put it another way: Stockfish vs. Stockfish is a draw.